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Markets would resist executive influence over the Federal Reserve, Kenneth Rogoff told Bloomberg TV. Inflation expectations would jump while the dollar would tank, the Harvard professor said. Donald Trump allies have reportedly been brainstorming ways for him to exert more influence over the Fed, if elected. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementPolitical attempts to influence the Federal Reserve won't go over well with markets, Harvard's Kenneth Rogoff said.
Persons: Kenneth Rogoff, Donald Trump, , Harvard's Kenneth Rogoff Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Service, Reserve, Business
Elon Musk made a surprise visit to China, meeting officials and striking a deal with Baidu. The deal brings Tesla a step closer to introducing its self-driving features in cars sold in China. AdvertisementElon Musk's surprise visit to China appears to have paid off. Elon Musk was taken by minibus to his private jet at Beijing airport on Monday after a surprise visit to China. Musk's battle planMusk's China visit came amid tough times for Tesla.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, , Elon Musk's, Narendra Modi, Musk, Li Qiang, Greg Baker, Dan Ives, Wall, Telsa, Musk's, he's Organizations: Baidu, Service, Tesla, Bloomberg, EVs, Getty, Bloomberg TV, Business Locations: China, Beijing, India, AFP
There was a risk, he said, that US-China relations could "return to a downward spiral." As such, the US-China relationship appears to have entered a dangerous period, and time may be running out to save it. The US has handed Ukraine billions in aid and military support to resist the invasion, with a new $61 billion bill passing this week. AdvertisementBlinken said he raised concerns about China's support for Russia in its invasion of Ukraine. Blinken will have to overcome several hurdles for US-China relations to improve.
Persons: , Antony Blinken's, Xi Jinping, Wang Yi, Xi, Joe Biden, Ali Wyne, Wang, Blinken, Ian Bremmer Organizations: Service, Business, US, West, International Crisis, Russia, Eurasia Group, Bloomberg Locations: China, Ukraine, loggerheads, Taiwan, Washington, Beijing, US, Western Europe, Russia
US and China's engagements don't mean they trust each other more, said Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . But just because they're talking more doesn't mean that they actually trust each other more, an analyst said on Wednesday. Earlier this month, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen visited China, seeking cooperation in areas beneficial to both countries. Advertisement"It's always better to have more engagement, more conversations — especially when you don't trust each other," Bremmer said.
Persons: Ian Bremmer, , Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, there's, Bremmer, Janet Yellen, Lloyd Austin, State Anthony Blinken, William Lai — Organizations: Service, Eurasia Group, Bloomberg, APEC, Defense, State Locations: Eurasia, Ian Bremmer . Washington, China, Taiwan, San Francisco, US, Washington, Taiwan —, Beijing
Israel's strike on Iran caused oil prices to spike, sparking fears of rising inflation. But US inflation is more impacted by strong domestic demand than by oil prices, an economist told Bloomberg TV. Oil prices gained as much as 4% following reports of the attack before later subsiding. Services is demand, and that demand needs to come from somewhere — and that's a robust economy," Chaar told Bloomberg. "I would say the biggest challenge here for the Fed is to manage the demand of the US economy," Chaar said.
Persons: , Samy Chaar, Lombard Odier, Jerome Powell, Chaar Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Fed, Bloomberg TV, Federal, Services, Institute for Supply Management Locations: Iran, Israel, , Swiss, America
Bitcoin is a "fraud" and "Ponzi scheme" and cannot serve as a currency, Jamie Dimon said. Dimon has dismissed bitcoin as a "pet rock" in the past and slammed it for enabling criminals. AdvertisementBitcoin is a scam and fails as a currency, Jamie Dimon said. "If you mean crypto like bitcoin, I've always said it's a fraud," the JPMorgan CEO told Bloomberg TV on Wednesday. It's a Ponzi scheme," he added.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, bitcoin, , I've Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Bloomberg
The Fed might have to self-induce a recession if it wants to reach its target inflation rate, a BMO strategist said. Ian Lyngen told Bloomberg TV that the Fed might find its current monetary policy to not be restrictive enough. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe latest inflation report not only sent bond yields soaring and stocks plunging, it may also have put the US back on track for a recession, one economist told Bloomberg TV on Thursday.
Persons: Ian Lyngen, Organizations: BMO, Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve, Federal, BMO Capital Markets, Business
Inflation slowed substantially in 2023 as the Fed lifted rates to nearly a quarter-century high and held them at that level since July. Still, most Fed officials have signaled that they plan to cut rates this year if the economy evolves as expected. And if the inflation situation worsens even further, the Fed may even have to consider raising rates. Like Bowman and Kashkari, New York Fed President John Williams said rate hikes aren’t part of his baseline outlook. The timing of that first rate cut is critical because if the Fed cuts too soon, it risks locking in inflation at a high level.
Persons: hasn’t, Michelle Bowman, Neel Kashkari, Bowman, John Williams, he’s, ” Williams, Williams, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Powell, Larry Summers, ” Summers, Summers, Goldman Sachs, Organizations: CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, ” Minneapolis, Kashkari , New York Fed, Boston, CPI, Bloomberg, UBS, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: Kashkari , New
Trump's trade policies would be "recessionary" and could make inflation worse, according to Kenneth Rogoff. The Harvard economist pointed to Trump's proposed tariffs on imports, including a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. AdvertisementDonald Trump's proposed tariffs on imports would have "recessionary" effects on the US economy and could end up sending inflation higher again, according to top economist Kenneth Rogoff. Rogoff said that Trump's proposed policies and Joe Biden's Inflation Reduction Act make them both the "most protectionist" presidential candidates the US has seen in a while, Rogoff said to Bloomberg on Wednesday. That could hamper economic growth and stoke inflation, making Trump one of the biggest threats to the global economy, "Dr. Doom" economist Nouriel Roubini recently argued.
Persons: Kenneth Rogoff, , Donald Trump's, Rogoff, Trump's, Joe Biden's, Doom, Nouriel Roubini, Biden, Donald Trump, overspending Organizations: Harvard, Bloomberg, Service, International Monetary, stoke, Trump, Bank of America, Project Syndicate Locations: China, stoke, Washington, Japan
China's years-long property crisis could get worse. There are concerns over Vanke amid reports the state-backed property developer was seeking debt maturity extensions. AdvertisementChina's years-long real-estate debt crisis has already taken down property giant Evergrande, which is undergoing liquidation. But China's property crisis could still get worse. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , that's, Charlene Chu Organizations: Service, Autonomous Research, Bloomberg, Business Locations: China
Edwin Tong, Singapore's culture minister, told local outlet Mothership on February 28 that the amount of grant given "is not what is being speculated online." As Tong, the Singapore culture minister, told Mothership, the city-state is looking "beyond just the economic impact" of Swiftonimics. Economists estimate that Swift's concerts in Singapore could contribute up to 500 million Singapore dollars, or $372 million, in tourist receipts. AdvertisementIt's a different story for spending on experiences — and it's heightened because Singapore is Swift's only stop in Southeast Asia. Mann said the people who have money to pay for flight tickets, Swift's concert tickets, and a hotel are likely to keep spending at other tourist spots.
Persons: , Taylor Swift, Srettha, Edwin Tong, Swift, it's, Yun Liu, Tong, Kevin Cheong, David Mann, Mann, Coldplay, Si Ying Toh, Cheong, Joey Salceda, Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno Organizations: Service, Business, HSBC, Asia Pacific, Mastercard, Nomura, Philippine Star, Bloomberg, Vegas Locations: Singapore, Southeast Asia, British, Thailand, Bangkok, Indonesia, Sands
Meanwhile, its financial markets are bleeding, the property market has gone up in smoke, local government debt appears alarming, and foreign investors are exiting in droves. Real estate — which was a huge part of China's economy — has been hit badly, he said. AdvertisementTravel has picked up after years of pandemic lockdownServices is another pillar of China's economy that Beijing has been trying to build up. AdvertisementThis is in part because new growth industries are not able to take the place of real estate — yet. Because the property market accounts for one-quarter of China's GDP and more than two-thirds of household wealth, its overall drag on China's economy is much greater than whatever is doing well right now.
Persons: , Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, AllianceBernstein, John Lin, Lin, Donald Trump's, Louise Loo, Wood Mackenzie, AllianceBerstein's Lin, Nomura, Loo Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg TV, Oxford Economics, Nomura, Oxford Locations: China, GlobalData.TS, Real, COVID, Beijing, Europe, Taiwan, South Korea
If China EV Inc. were allowed to enter the US today or next year, the legacies would be gutted." The year Musk tittered at the idea of Chinese EVs overtaking Tesla, the country produced only 5,000 electric cars. It has more trade barrier protection from a China Auto Inc. onslaught, but it may not work forever. AdvertisementWe want to maintain an auto industry in the US — that's essential for jobs, national security, and for other sectors of the economy. Sure, Chinese EV makers are lean and mean, but they've never had to deal with international markets before.
Persons: Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, Le, haven't, carmakers, Jim Farley, Tesla, Xi, Andy Wong, Xi Jinping, Li Auto, BYD, Trump, Mary Lovely, Joe Biden's, Biden, it's, Lovely, they've Organizations: Tesla, Bloomberg TV, America's, GM, Ford, Sino, EV, China EV Inc, ascendance, Chery, US, Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Companies, SAIC, Energy Department, China Auto Inc, Peterson Institute, United Auto Workers, White, Auto Locations: Chinese, China, Beijing, Japan, Europe, North America, Brussels, Washington, Hungary, Mexico, Canada, America
Yet two months into 2024, Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues seems to have nearly pulled off what many would have called a miracle not long ago. Between a rock and a hard placeThe January Fed meeting minutes reinforced policymakers' careful approach for the months ahead. AdvertisementTo be sure, as far as policy expectations, markets have only recently arrived on the same page as the Fed. "The Fed doesn't want to be seen as having allowed inflation to reignite," he added. "The Fed doesn't want to undo all the good work they've done, and needlessly push the economy into a recession."
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, James McCann, Abrdn, Gene Goldman, CME's, Gregory Draco, Draco, Larry Summers, Summers, Cetera's Goldman, Goldman, Abrdn's McCann, McCann Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Co, Fed, Cetera Investment Management, Bloomberg
Read previewSteep rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could be coming later this year thanks to weakening in the job market, which likely isn't as robust as some of the latest data has made it out to be, according to Wells Fargo strategist Erik Nelson. Advertisement"We need a catalyst, we need some data that shows these recent, strong data were just a blip. But much of that strength may be seasonal and no longer reflected in upcoming job reports, Nelson said. Other market commentators have warned that hiring activity could weaken in 2024 as tighter financial conditions take a toll on businesses. Though the jobless rate is low, continuing unemployment claims are hovering around 1.9 million, according to Fed data.
Persons: , Wells, Erik Nelson, Nelson, Paul Dietrich Organizations: Service, Federal, Bloomberg, Business, Fed, New York Fed, Yale School of Management
A wave of inflationary signals means that the Federal Reserve's next move could be a rate hike, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers said. His read on recent key inflation indicators in January, including a 3.1% year-over-year increase in the consumer price index and a 0.9% rise in the producer price index, formed the basis of his rationale. When it comes to identifying deflationary trends in shelter prices, Summers noted that many economists tend to focus solely on rental markets. AdvertisementSummers noted that the Fed isn't going to want to let up too soon and risk cutting rates while inflation is still a problem. The disease tends to come back and it tends to be harder to go after the second time."
Persons: Larry Summers, Summers, there's Organizations: Federal, Bloomberg, Business
CNN —Paramount Global, the owner of broadcast and cable TV networks, announced Tuesday it will lay off hundreds of staffers as the media giant looks to reduce costs and grow revenue. The news comes just days after its CBS network saw record-breaking advertising sales and the highest-rated telecast for the Super Bowl. The company’s chief executive, Bob Bakish, announced the layoffs in a memo to employees Tuesday obtained by CNN. While Bakish did not specify the number of layoffs, sources familiar with the matter told CNN around 800 employees, or roughly 3% cut of the company’s workforce, will be affected. Paramount is the latest media conglomerate to lay off staffers in 2024.
Persons: Bob Bakish, Bakish, , ” Bakish, Shari Redstone, David Zaslav, David Ellison’s Skydance, Condé Nast Organizations: CNN, Paramount Global, CBS, Super, National, Warner Bros, Discovery, RedBird, Paramount, Bloomberg, Los Angeles Times, TIME, Business, Condé, Forbes, The New York Daily News
There are "pockets of stress" within an otherwise strong US economy, Apollo's co-president Jim Zelter said. Many corporate borrowers are grappling with high debt and a slow recovery from the pandemic. AdvertisementCorporate borrowers represent "pockets of stress" within an otherwise robust economy, according to Apollo Global Management co-president Jim Zelter. A string of strong economic indicators has been released in recent weeks. The conundrum for investors has been that strong economic data pushes back on expectations for rate cuts in the near-term.
Persons: Jim Zelter, Zelter, , there's, it's Organizations: Service, Apollo Global Management, Bloomberg, Fed
CNN —In the spring of 2015, homemaking expert Martha Stewart was giving Justin Bieber some dating advice. Long before Kylie Jenner may or may not have become a self-made billionaire, Stewart became the first woman to actually achieve that status when the company she founded, Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia, went public in 1999. But the “Martha Stewart” brand lives on across thousands of products that reach approximately 100 million consumers each month, according to a tally from the current owner, Marquee Brands. There is no modern lifestyle brand without Stewart, who taught a generation of women how to turn themselves into a brand and grow a business. After she sold her namesake brand, Stewart has turned to social media to unlock new streams of revenue while still forging what feels like authentic connections with her millions of followers.
Persons: Martha Stewart, Justin Bieber, Stewart, Justin, Long, Kylie Jenner, Omnimedia, MSLO, Martha Stewart ”, , Michael Kupinski, , ” Kupinski, ” It’s, Gwyneth Paltrow, Jessica Alba, TikTok, ” Martha Stewart, Marc Bryan, Brown, ” Claire Saffitz, Gary Nardilla, Martha, ” Nardilla, Stewart’s, Tang ”, Martha’s, Saffitz Organizations: CNN, Comedy, Marquee Brands, Noble Financial Capital Markets, Bloomberg, Everett, CNN Studios Locations: West Virginia, Instagram, Martha’s Chard
In January, authorities pulled about a dozen moves to stabilize a stock market rout and to support the property sector. But China's economic data isn't encouraging, and investor confidence is still low. Investors are cautiousThe moves gave some support to Chinese markets, but investors are still cautious. China's economic data hasn't been rosy either. Consumer appetite for property is still lowStill, overall consumer appetite for the property market appears to be in the dumps.
Persons: , Hao Hong, Premier Li Qiang, Hong, Min Lan Tan, Tan Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Grow Investment, Premier, Reuters, Investors, CSI, Securities Times, Estate Information Corp, Asia Pacific, UBS, Nikkei Locations: China, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Suzhou, Guangxi, Nikkei Asia
Unemployment will double to 6%-7% and a hard landing will hit by the end of 2024, a Mizuho strategist said. "The inflation decline is not a benign indicator of, oh, we've done it, we've got a soft landing." "The hard landing will be a sharp increase in unemployment," Mizuho strategist Dominic Konstam told Bloomberg TV on Monday, forecasting unemployment rates at 6% or 7% by the end of the year. The labor market is increasingly coming into focus in the soft landing debate, as hiring stalls and layoffs increase. "The inflation decline is not a benign indicator of, 'oh, we've done it, we've got a soft landing,'" he said.
Persons: we've, , Mizuho, Dominic Konstam, Goldman Sachs, Konstam, Powell Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, ata Locations: Covid
The narrative that the US economy could achieve a soft landing still faces challenges, Mohamed El-Erian told Bloomberg TV. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMarket confidence in a US soft landing ignores three vulnerabilities that still pose a recessionary threat, economist Mohamed El-Erian told Bloomberg TV. The bank expects a noticeable mid-year slowdown, contrasting Wall Street's soft landing consensus. Secondly, inflation will also keep a recession on standby, as it's no given that it won't rebound, El-Erian warned.
Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, , it's, Wells, November's, I've, Yemen's Houthi Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve Locations: Europe, Red, Africa
Now there’s roughly a 50/50 chance that the Fed could either cut rates or hold them steady in March, according to futures. A few developments this past week tempered investors’ optimism, and now the possibility of a rate cut in March could be completely thrown out the window, according to economists. He echoed other Fed officials who’ve recently said that beginning to cut rates in March is just not realistic. In addition to officials’ comments, recent economic data also doesn’t bode well for a March rate cut. Markets are expecting twice as many rate cuts this year than what Fed officials themselves estimated in their latest economic projections released in December.
Persons: , Christopher Waller, , who’ve, Loretta Mester, , Mary Daly, it’s, Daly, bode, Waller, ” Bill Adams, ” Daniel Altman, Jerome Powell’s, Donald Trump, Christine Lagarde, couldn’t, Jamie Dimon, Trump, Joe Biden, Bank of America’s Brian Moynihan, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Levi Strauss, Booz Allen Hamilton, CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN — Federal Reserve, Fed, Brookings Institution, ” Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, ” San Francisco Fed, Fox Business, Commerce Department, Labor Department, Employers, Comerica Bank, CNN, Biden, Trump, Economic, European Central Bank, , JPMorgan, Bank of America’s, United Airlines, The Bank of Japan, Netflix, General Electric, Procter, Gamble, Johnson, Verizon, Lockheed, Haliburton, Tesla, IBM, Bank of Canada, Global, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Airlines, Co, Visa, Intel, Mobile, Comcast, Capital, US Commerce Department, Chicago Fed, US Labor Department, American Express, Colgate, Palmolive, Booz, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, ” San, East, Iran, Davos, Switzerland, Iowa, Swiss, United States
The job is not yet done,” François Villeroy de Galhau, the governor of France’s central bank, said this week in Davos. Those “upside risks to inflation” include supply chain fragmentation, trade protectionism, climate shocks and armed conflicts, according to Gopinath. As soon as central banks start lowering interest rates “people feel better, they start spending more,” she said. Now the bank has to keep interest rates high “for as long as necessary” to put inflation firmly on the path back to 2%, she added. Meanwhile, container shipping costs along many of the world’s busiest trade routes have doubled — and in some cases tripled — since the middle of December, according to data from London-based shipping consultancy Drewry.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, , “ It’s, Galhau, Gita Gopinath, Francois Villeroy de, Stefan Wermuth, Gopinath, Mary Callahan Erdoes, Christine Lagarde, , Joe Biden, Vincent Clerc, CNN’s Richard Quest, Tobias Meyer, ” Robert North Organizations: London CNN, UBS, Economic, Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg, Getty, JPMorgan, Central Bank, IMF, Oxford University, Drewry, Oxford Economics, Maersk, DHL Locations: Iran, Africa, Davos, Switzerland, Red, United States, Europe, United Kingdom, France’s, Israel, Pakistan, British, Yemen, Suez, London, Asia
Israel's war with Hamas is costing the country the equivalent of 10% of GDP, the central bank's governor said. The Bank of Israel has estimated that it will cost about $58 billion between 2023 and 2025. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe Hamas war will cost Israel the equivalent of a 10th of the country's GDP, the central bank's chief said on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe central bank has also stepped in to stop the shekel from sliding last year, providing $15 billion through swap lines, and pushing the currency up 8.8% against the dollar in November.
Persons: , Amir Yaron, Yaron Organizations: The Bank of Israel, Service, Bank of Israel, Bloomberg Locations: Israel
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